PnL (30d)

−$622

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1,496

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-11.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

38%

57W / 95L · 46 open

Win Return (30d)

29%

57W / 141L

Trades (30d)

198

across 51 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$14.14

avg win $34 · loss $44

Profit Factor

0.48

$577 won / $1,199 lost

Reward / Risk

0.76

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$18

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	37.5% 57W/95L	51	$10,967
⚽ Sports	45.5% 5W/6L	6	$83
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/2L	1	$1,240
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/2L	1	$1,240

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	1,368	0.790	$1,080.87	$420.88	+63.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	2,000	0.385	$770.00	$-210.00	-21.4%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	No	2,512	0.285	$715.57	$-679.57	-48.7%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	No	905	0.175	$158.41	$-427.49	-73.0%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	221	0.435	$96.01	$-27.10	-22.0%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	300	0.209	$62.85	$-27.15	-30.2%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	No	311	0.145	$45.13	$-102.54	-69.4%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	60	0.526	$31.55	$-3.96	-11.1%