Ghostmbao0O
0xab272e6842b25011615f1163589750d749e6ab66
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$16
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$88
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
24%
4W / 13L · 41 open
Win Return (30d)
74%
43W / 15L
Trades (30d)
58
across 7 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
−$3.90
avg win $5 · loss $13
Profit Factor
0.38
$10 won / $25 lost
Reward / Risk
0.38
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$23
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,462 · all-time $89,945
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? |
Yes |
109 |
0.875 |
$95.53 |
$7.71 |
+8.8% |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? |
No |
72 |
0.660 |
$47.23 |
$11.73 |
+33.1% |
| Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? |
Yes |
50 |
0.675 |
$33.75 |
$-5.54 |
-14.1% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
100 |
0.015 |
$1.45 |
$-0.15 |
-9.4% |