PnL (30d)

−$88

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$92

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

54%

28W / 24L · 49 open

Win Return (30d)

69%

70W / 31L

Trades (30d)

101

across 30 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$3.99

avg win $8 · loss $26

Profit Factor

0.57

$117 won / $205 lost

Reward / Risk

0.33

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$45

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	53.8% 28W/24L	30	$3,968
🏛 Politics	16.7% 2W/10L	5	$1,849
🤖 Tech	—	3	$177
💵 Economy	—	2	$59
🎬 Culture	—	2	$145

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes	109	0.875	$95.53	$7.71	+8.8%
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?	No	72	0.670	$47.95	$12.45	+35.1%
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?	Yes	50	0.685	$34.25	$-5.04	-12.8%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	100	0.013	$1.35	$-0.25	-15.6%