0xshuai
0xab035443c014f07b22cbc83cad027ae69c13358b
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$27
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-4.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
73%
181W / 66L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
73%
181W / 66L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
251
across 110 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.25
avg win $1 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.73
$73 won / $100 lost
Reward / Risk
0.40
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$30
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $824 · all-time $38,063
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
6 |
0.535 |
$3.02 |
$-0.08 |
-2.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
13 |
0.170 |
$2.17 |
$-4.44 |
-67.1% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
Yes |
6 |
0.065 |
$0.41 |
$-0.59 |
-59.4% |