PnL (30d)

−$13

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-8.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

74%

32W / 11L · 38 open

Win Return (30d)

85%

60W / 11L · 10 open

Trades (30d)

81

across 20 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$1.33

avg win $0 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.08

$1 won / $15 lost

Reward / Risk

0.05

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$10

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	81.0% 396W/93L	239	$3,129
⚽ Sports	67.5% 52W/25L	48	$336
🏛 Politics	57.1% 4W/3L	8	$80
💵 Economy	80.0% 4W/1L	4	$46

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	6	0.535	$3.02	$-0.08	-2.7%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	13	0.155	$1.98	$-4.63	-70.0%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	Yes	6	0.060	$0.38	$-0.62	-62.5%