Draffa
0xaacbc9d95817074834824232a53bbfb88ff290cb
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$3,299
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-93.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 187L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
0%
0W / 189L
Trades (30d)
189
across 6 markets · ~32 per market
EV / position
−$824.70
· loss $825
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $3,299 lost
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$230
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $63,811 · all-time $4,089,790
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
13,000 |
0.155 |
$2,014.99 |
$903.37 |
+81.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
25,605 |
0.033 |
$832.17 |
$472.42 |
+131.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
Yes |
10,500 |
0.015 |
$152.25 |
$47.25 |
+45.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
No |
16,664 |
0.002 |
$25.00 |
$-152.94 |
-86.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
No |
10,781 |
0.002 |
$16.17 |
$-439.76 |
-96.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
No |
18,515 |
0.001 |
$9.26 |
$-1,270.74 |
-99.3% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
125 |
0.006 |
$0.81 |
$-0.19 |
-18.8% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
122 |
0.004 |
$0.55 |
$-0.55 |
-50.0% |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.002 |
$0.45 |
$-0.45 |
-50.0% |