PnL (30d)

−$7,007

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$230

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-22.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

9%

367W / 3,741L · 143 open

Win Return (30d)

10%

420W / 3,831L

Trades (30d)

4,251

across 173 markets · ~25 per market

EV / position

−$42.47

avg win $603 · loss $152

Profit Factor

0.67

$14,472 won / $21,479 lost

Reward / Risk

3.96

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,336

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	8.9% 367W/3,741L	173	$52,492
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/50L	3	$871
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/36L	2	$732
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/31L	2	$108
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$15

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	13,000	0.165	$2,144.99	$1,033.37	+93.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	Yes	25,605	0.035	$906.42	$546.67	+152.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?	Yes	10,500	0.015	$162.75	$57.75	+55.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	No	16,664	0.002	$25.00	$-152.94	-86.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	No	18,515	0.001	$18.51	$-1,261.49	-98.6%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	No	10,781	0.002	$16.17	$-439.76	-96.5%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	125	0.006	$0.81	$-0.19	-18.8%
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	122	0.004	$0.55	$-0.55	-50.0%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	300	0.002	$0.45	$-0.45	-50.0%