PnL (30d)

−$7

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-15.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

3%

17W / 499L · 49 open

Win Return (30d)

4%

23W / 541L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

565

across 458 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$0.02

avg win $5 · loss $0

Profit Factor

0.82

$34 won / $41 lost

Reward / Risk

48.04

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$20

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	6.5% 551W/7,968L	3628	$1,794
🌤 Weather	3.5% 17W/469L	434	$44
₿ Crypto	8.8% 21W/218L	80	$60

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

199 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.125	$0.62	$0.53	+525.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.102	$0.51	$0.41	+407.4%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.075	$0.38	$0.28	+275.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 5?	Yes	5	0.068	$0.34	$0.24	+240.0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.065	$0.33	$0.23	+225.0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.055	$0.28	$0.17	+175.0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.055	$0.28	$0.17	+175.0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.045	$0.23	$0.12	+125.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.045	$0.23	$0.12	+125.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.045	$0.23	$0.12	+125.0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 6?	Yes	5	0.045	$0.23	$0.12	+125.0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 6?	Yes	5	0.045	$0.22	$0.12	+124.8%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.043	$0.22	$0.12	+117.0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.040	$0.20	$0.10	+100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.040	$0.20	$0.10	+99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.040	$0.20	$0.10	+99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.035	$0.17	$0.07	+74.9%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.035	$0.17	$0.07	+74.9%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.035	$0.17	$0.07	+74.9%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.035	$0.17	$0.07	+74.9%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.035	$0.17	$0.07	+74.9%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 5?	Yes	5	0.030	$0.15	$0.05	+49.9%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 6?	Yes	5	0.030	$0.15	$0.05	+49.9%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.030	$0.15	$0.05	+49.9%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.030	$0.15	$0.05	+49.9%