PnL (30d)

+$176

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$314

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+9.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

7%

551W / 7,918L · 225 open

Win Return (30d)

7%

645W / 8,047L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

8,694

across 3,625 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.05

avg win $14 · loss $0

Profit Factor

1.11

$1,810 won / $1,634 lost

Reward / Risk

27.59

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$62

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	6.5% 551W/7,918L	3625	$1,793
🌤 Weather	3.3% 17W/492L	452	$46
₿ Crypto	8.7% 21W/220L	81	$61

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

192 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.106	$0.53	$0.43	+430.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5?	No	5	0.095	$0.47	$0.37	+374.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.083	$0.41	$0.31	+312.5%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.080	$0.40	$0.30	+299.9%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 5?	Yes	5	0.075	$0.38	$0.28	+277.4%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.060	$0.30	$0.20	+199.9%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.059	$0.29	$0.19	+194.9%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.050	$0.25	$0.15	+150.0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.050	$0.25	$0.15	+149.9%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.045	$0.23	$0.12	+125.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.040	$0.20	$0.10	+100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.040	$0.20	$0.10	+100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 6?	Yes	5	0.040	$0.20	$0.10	+100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.040	$0.20	$0.10	+100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 6?	Yes	5	0.040	$0.20	$0.10	+100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.040	$0.20	$0.10	+100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.040	$0.20	$0.10	+99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 5?	Yes	5	0.035	$0.18	$0.08	+76.9%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on August 5?	Yes	5	0.035	$0.17	$0.07	+74.9%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.035	$0.17	$0.07	+74.9%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.035	$0.17	$0.07	+74.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.035	$0.17	$0.07	+74.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.035	$0.17	$0.07	+74.9%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.030	$0.15	$0.05	+52.4%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.030	$0.15	$0.05	+49.9%