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Trader leaderboard/Grodan

Grodan

0xaa9f65acf563e0c257b5ba92e6d52301311f0df3
PnL (30d)
+$368
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$140
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+28.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
65%
15W / 8L · 108 open
Win Return (30d)
36%
47W / 84L
Trades (30d)
131
across 23 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$33.44
avg win $91 · loss $15
Profit Factor
5.20
$456 won / $88 lost
Reward / Risk
6.24
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $445 · all-time $1,789,728

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 65.2% 15W/8L 23 $2,328
🏛 Politics — 1 $1

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No 330 0.845 $278.85 $85.15 +44.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Yes 700 0.305 $213.50 $11.50 +5.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 300 0.615 $184.50 $19.50 +11.8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? Yes 200 0.785 $157.00 $55.00 +53.9%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 300 0.515 $154.50 $24.50 +18.8%
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No 150 0.925 $138.75 $12.25 +9.7%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 200 0.535 $107.00 $5.00 +4.9%
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes 1,056 0.100 $105.61 $-187.38 -64.0%
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No 222 0.440 $97.50 $64.38 +194.3%
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? Yes 100 0.845 $84.50 $21.50 +34.1%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? Yes 100 0.825 $82.50 $41.50 +101.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 100 0.695 $69.49 $34.49 +98.5%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? No 100 0.430 $43.00 $2.00 +4.9%
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? Yes 6,034 0.006 $39.22 $-116.03 -74.7%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 100 0.365 $36.50 $4.50 +14.1%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No 100 0.315 $31.50 $-9.50 -23.2%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No 334 0.070 $23.24 $-26.99 -53.7%
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No 57 0.260 $14.79 $14.79 +0.0%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes 100 0.075 $7.50 $-5.50 -42.3%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? Yes 50 0.145 $7.25 $-6.25 -46.3%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 397 0.017 $6.54 $-11.35 -63.4%