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Trader leaderboard/DumbOracle

DumbOracle

0xa9ecc654e83991dce406032bc504ab78ae2c57d5
PnL (30d)
+$92
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$189
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
79%
15W / 4L · 187 open
Win Return (30d)
56%
116W / 90L
Trades (30d)
206
across 42 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$11.48
avg win $17 · loss $5
Profit Factor
10.07
$102 won / $10 lost
Reward / Risk
3.36
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $250 · all-time $257,129

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 78.9% 15W/4L 42 $26,015
🏛 Politics 100.0% 3W/0L 15 $7,150

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

42 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 4,016 0.925 $3,714.61 $175.48 +5.0%
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No 2,661 0.805 $2,142.03 $-48.86 -2.2%
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? No 1,635 0.940 $1,536.65 $52.40 +3.5%
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No 1,800 0.770 $1,385.99 $-7.99 -0.6%
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No 1,280 0.925 $1,183.59 $60.46 +5.4%
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? No 900 0.975 $877.05 $17.55 +2.0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes 888 0.915 $812.07 $37.81 +4.9%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No 700 0.855 $598.50 $38.50 +6.9%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No 642 0.920 $590.88 $79.99 +15.7%
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? No 600 0.976 $585.60 $16.10 +2.8%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? No 600 0.815 $488.94 $0.44 +0.1%
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No 300 0.925 $277.50 $4.50 +1.6%
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? No 275 0.945 $259.88 $7.63 +3.0%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 300 0.850 $254.85 $2.85 +1.1%
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No 300 0.845 $253.50 $28.50 +12.7%
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No 300 0.815 $244.48 $-19.53 -7.4%
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No 400 0.585 $234.02 $-20.00 -7.9%
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? No 200 0.925 $185.00 $7.00 +3.9%
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026? No 223 0.815 $182.05 $6.42 +3.7%
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? No 122 0.940 $115.02 $11.01 +10.6%
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31? No 107 0.987 $105.86 $6.65 +6.7%
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? No 108 0.905 $97.48 $14.31 +17.2%
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? No 100 0.940 $94.00 $1.00 +1.1%
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? No 150 0.615 $92.25 $-7.25 -7.3%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No 200 0.455 $90.99 $-18.50 -16.9%