| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
15,000 |
0.996 |
$14,940.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
14,723 |
0.948 |
$13,957.32 |
$661.71 |
+5.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
15,726 |
0.835 |
$13,130.83 |
$507.46 |
+4.0% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
14,272 |
0.735 |
$10,489.62 |
$462.73 |
+4.6% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
10,866 |
0.945 |
$10,267.97 |
$238.30 |
+2.4% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
9,260 |
0.925 |
$8,565.39 |
$232.58 |
+2.8% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
10,850 |
0.715 |
$7,757.97 |
$325.17 |
+4.4% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
7,932 |
0.964 |
$7,642.36 |
$872.89 |
+12.9% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
8,578 |
0.886 |
$7,604.04 |
$96.17 |
+1.3% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
7,389 |
0.945 |
$6,982.22 |
$709.82 |
+11.3% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
10,813 |
0.645 |
$6,974.45 |
$169.27 |
+2.5% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
13,739 |
0.455 |
$6,251.10 |
$-1,254.86 |
-16.7% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
5,847 |
0.935 |
$5,467.20 |
$86.19 |
+1.6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
5,188 |
0.989 |
$5,128.33 |
$412.04 |
+8.7% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
9,771 |
0.515 |
$5,032.15 |
$498.54 |
+11.0% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
5,504 |
0.830 |
$4,568.22 |
$1,238.17 |
+37.2% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
5,372 |
0.825 |
$4,432.09 |
$-44.85 |
-1.0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
4,000 |
0.985 |
$3,938.00 |
$8.00 |
+0.2% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
5,178 |
0.705 |
$3,650.46 |
$599.55 |
+19.7% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? |
No |
3,759 |
0.956 |
$3,593.68 |
$504.58 |
+16.3% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
3,733 |
0.957 |
$3,570.21 |
$42.85 |
+1.2% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? |
No |
3,592 |
0.918 |
$3,298.98 |
$583.93 |
+21.5% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? |
No |
3,203 |
0.968 |
$3,099.28 |
$293.29 |
+10.5% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
No |
3,060 |
0.980 |
$2,998.81 |
$36.78 |
+1.2% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
No |
3,000 |
0.925 |
$2,775.00 |
$45.01 |
+1.6% |