| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? |
No |
100 |
0.908 |
$90.85 |
$-1.55 |
-1.7% |
| Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? |
Yes |
100 |
0.700 |
$70.00 |
$-6.00 |
-7.9% |
| Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? |
No |
75 |
0.930 |
$69.79 |
$-1.39 |
-1.9% |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
100 |
0.565 |
$56.49 |
$-7.51 |
-11.7% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.997 |
$49.83 |
$1.07 |
+2.2% |
| Trump on $250 bill this year? |
No |
51 |
0.973 |
$49.60 |
$-0.18 |
-0.4% |
| Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey before 2027? |
No |
51 |
0.969 |
$49.42 |
$0.51 |
+1.0% |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026? |
No |
51 |
0.968 |
$49.37 |
$-0.92 |
-1.8% |
| Will Gabby Williams have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season? |
No |
50 |
0.985 |
$49.25 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027? |
No |
51 |
0.964 |
$49.16 |
$-0.46 |
-0.9% |
| Will US Bank fail by end of 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.971 |
$48.52 |
$-1.12 |
-2.3% |
| Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? |
No |
50 |
0.970 |
$48.50 |
$0.10 |
+0.2% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU? |
No |
50 |
0.970 |
$48.50 |
$-0.70 |
-1.4% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.948 |
$47.38 |
$-0.12 |
-0.3% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.945 |
$47.23 |
$0.38 |
+0.8% |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026? |
No |
51 |
0.897 |
$45.75 |
$-2.14 |
-4.5% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? |
No |
50 |
0.894 |
$44.70 |
$1.30 |
+3.0% |
| Macron out by December 31, 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.893 |
$44.67 |
$-3.12 |
-6.5% |
| Will RISEx launch a token by September 30, 2026? |
No |
45 |
0.977 |
$43.96 |
$0.13 |
+0.3% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
50 |
0.849 |
$42.42 |
$-0.17 |
-0.4% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
45 |
0.924 |
$42.06 |
$0.11 |
+0.3% |
| Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? |
No |
50 |
0.812 |
$40.60 |
$-3.30 |
-7.5% |
| Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
45 |
0.899 |
$40.45 |
$0.45 |
+1.1% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.794 |
$39.73 |
$2.02 |
+5.4% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? |
No |
50 |
0.770 |
$38.50 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |