| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? |
No |
100 |
0.908 |
$90.85 |
$-1.55 |
-1.7% |
| Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? |
No |
75 |
0.940 |
$70.46 |
$-0.71 |
-1.0% |
| Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? |
Yes |
100 |
0.665 |
$66.50 |
$-9.50 |
-12.5% |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
100 |
0.570 |
$56.99 |
$-7.01 |
-11.0% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.996 |
$49.80 |
$1.05 |
+2.2% |
| Trump on $250 bill this year? |
No |
51 |
0.973 |
$49.60 |
$-0.18 |
-0.4% |
| Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey before 2027? |
No |
51 |
0.969 |
$49.42 |
$0.51 |
+1.0% |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026? |
No |
51 |
0.968 |
$49.37 |
$-0.92 |
-1.8% |
| Will Gabby Williams have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season? |
No |
50 |
0.985 |
$49.25 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027? |
No |
51 |
0.964 |
$49.16 |
$-0.46 |
-0.9% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
51 |
0.964 |
$49.14 |
$-0.03 |
-0.1% |
| Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? |
No |
50 |
0.971 |
$48.52 |
$0.12 |
+0.3% |
| Will US Bank fail by end of 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.970 |
$48.50 |
$-1.15 |
-2.3% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU? |
No |
50 |
0.970 |
$48.50 |
$-0.70 |
-1.4% |
| Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31? |
No |
50 |
0.966 |
$48.27 |
$0.17 |
+0.4% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.950 |
$47.48 |
$-0.02 |
-0.1% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
50 |
0.926 |
$46.33 |
$0.22 |
+0.5% |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026? |
No |
51 |
0.895 |
$45.65 |
$-2.24 |
-4.7% |
| Macron out by December 31, 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.900 |
$45.00 |
$-2.80 |
-5.9% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? |
No |
50 |
0.896 |
$44.80 |
$1.40 |
+3.2% |
| Will RISEx launch a token by September 30, 2026? |
No |
45 |
0.977 |
$43.94 |
$0.11 |
+0.3% |
| Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? |
Yes |
50 |
0.875 |
$43.75 |
$-0.75 |
-1.7% |
| Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026? |
No |
45 |
0.961 |
$43.22 |
$-0.07 |
-0.2% |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.855 |
$42.75 |
$-2.25 |
-5.0% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
50 |
0.851 |
$42.52 |
$-0.07 |
-0.2% |