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Trader leaderboard/Numitus1994

Numitus1994

0xa815f590e64fa64d417df72c581a32f5ff449cbe
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$170
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$36
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-7.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
48%
416W / 452L · 1,376 open
Win Return (30d)
51%
1,122W / 1,083L · 39 open
Trades (30d)
2,244
across 433 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$1.23
avg win $5 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.63
$284 won / $454 lost
Reward / Risk
1.03
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$23
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $82,204 · all-time $7,066,514

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 37.2% 2,674W/4,512L 3885 $44,972
🏛 Politics 22.9% 32W/108L 412 $2,207
💵 Economy 31.7% 26W/56L 193 $948
🎬 Culture 13.2% 7W/46L 167 $641
⚽ Sports 139 $610
₿ Crypto 29.0% 9W/22L 113 $484
🤖 Tech 57.1% 4W/3L 64 $291
🔬 Science 10 $56
🌤 Weather 7 $46

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Yes 1,286 0.081 $103.56 $-21.91 -17.5%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes 804 0.075 $60.30 $-8.04 -11.8%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 665 0.060 $39.91 $-10.18 -20.3%
Will Drake Baldwin lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season? Yes 88 0.436 $38.40 $36.14 +1596.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-03 House seat? Yes 808 0.045 $36.37 $-5.08 -12.3%
Will the Republican Party win the IL-08 House seat? Yes 658 0.055 $36.19 $-5.89 -14.0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 404 0.082 $32.93 $-1.72 -5.0%
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026? Yes 291 0.103 $30.13 $2.81 +10.3%
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? Yes 693 0.043 $29.73 $-5.84 -16.4%
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes 670 0.044 $29.49 $-4.90 -14.3%
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? Yes 889 0.032 $28.00 $-12.48 -30.8%
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? No 402 0.067 $26.91 $-2.31 -7.9%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? Yes 747 0.036 $26.88 $-4.29 -13.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-01 House seat? No 408 0.065 $26.52 $2.04 +8.3%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-25 House seat? Yes 408 0.065 $26.52 $-2.04 -7.1%
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes 402 0.065 $26.13 $-6.03 -18.7%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? Yes 397 0.065 $25.79 $-0.10 -0.4%
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? Yes 115 0.220 $25.36 $17.31 +214.8%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.75–$2.00 in July? Yes 534 0.045 $24.03 $-15.98 -39.9%
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? Yes 406 0.055 $22.33 $-7.10 -24.1%
Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026? No 330 0.061 $20.30 $-3.03 -13.0%
Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? Yes 304 0.067 $20.22 $-5.15 -20.3%
Iran leadership change by September 30? Yes 358 0.055 $19.67 $-7.15 -26.7%
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes 204 0.095 $19.41 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes 202 0.095 $19.19 $0.50 +2.7%