PnL (30d)

−$1,973

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$495

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-7.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

37%

2,674W / 4,512L · 13,885 open

Win Return (30d)

46%

9,465W / 11,204L · 402 open

Trades (30d)

21,071

across 3,885 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$1.88

avg win $8 · loss $6

Profit Factor

0.57

$2,661 won / $4,634 lost

Reward / Risk

1.32

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$244

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	37.2% 2,674W/4,512L	3885	$44,972
🏛 Politics	22.9% 32W/108L	412	$2,207
💵 Economy	31.7% 26W/56L	193	$948
🎬 Culture	13.2% 7W/46L	167	$641
⚽ Sports	—	139	$610
₿ Crypto	29.0% 9W/22L	113	$484
🤖 Tech	57.1% 4W/3L	64	$291
🔬 Science	—	10	$56
🌤 Weather	—	7	$46

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	1,286	0.081	$103.56	$-21.91	-17.5%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	804	0.075	$60.30	$-8.04	-11.8%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	665	0.060	$39.91	$-10.18	-20.3%
Will Drake Baldwin lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	88	0.436	$38.36	$36.10	+1594.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-03 House seat?	Yes	808	0.045	$36.37	$-5.08	-12.3%
Will the Republican Party win the IL-08 House seat?	Yes	658	0.055	$36.19	$-5.89	-14.0%
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026?	Yes	291	0.103	$29.98	$2.67	+9.8%
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	693	0.043	$29.73	$-5.84	-16.4%
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Yes	670	0.044	$29.49	$-4.90	-14.3%
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?	Yes	889	0.032	$28.00	$-12.48	-30.8%
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	No	402	0.069	$27.71	$-1.51	-5.2%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	Yes	747	0.036	$26.88	$-4.29	-13.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-01 House seat?	No	408	0.065	$26.52	$2.04	+8.3%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-25 House seat?	Yes	408	0.065	$26.52	$-2.04	-7.1%
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	402	0.065	$26.13	$-6.03	-18.7%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	Yes	397	0.065	$25.79	$-0.10	-0.4%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.75–$2.00 in July?	Yes	534	0.045	$24.03	$-15.98	-39.9%
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	406	0.055	$22.33	$-7.10	-24.1%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	252	0.084	$21.02	$-0.98	-4.5%
Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?	No	330	0.061	$20.30	$-3.03	-13.0%
Iran leadership change by September 30?	Yes	358	0.055	$19.67	$-7.15	-26.7%
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	204	0.095	$19.41	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	202	0.095	$19.19	$0.50	+2.7%
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	Yes	239	0.080	$19.13	$0.62	+3.3%
Glean IPO before 2027?	Yes	224	0.085	$19.00	$-3.08	-14.0%