PnL (30d)

−$45

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$29

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-4.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

22%

39W / 136L · 38 open

Win Return (30d)

25%

54W / 159L

Trades (30d)

213

across 57 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$0.99

avg win $38 · loss $17

Profit Factor

0.92

$493 won / $537 lost

Reward / Risk

2.26

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$362

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	39.2% 245W/380L	223	$2,762
₿ Crypto	17.6% 13W/61L	43	$681
💵 Economy	17.8% 13W/60L	42	$680
🤖 Tech	—	4	$90

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

26 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.25 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	515	0.140	$72.12	$-0.38	-0.5%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $95?	No	276	0.245	$67.51	$17.51	+35.0%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $135?	Yes	138	0.280	$38.52	$1.02	+2.7%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 in August?	Yes	189	0.184	$34.69	$-3.31	-8.7%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	406	0.080	$32.49	$2.49	+8.3%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.50 in August?	Yes	183	0.175	$32.08	$11.08	+52.8%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at <$85 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?	Yes	75	0.115	$8.68	$-1.32	-13.2%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $90?	No	115	0.070	$8.05	$-2.95	-26.8%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in August?	Yes	9	0.210	$1.83	$-0.17	-8.7%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $168 in August?	Yes	3	0.675	$1.73	$0.73	+73.1%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.75 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	313	0.005	$1.72	$-53.60	-96.9%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $85?	No	15	0.110	$1.69	$-0.31	-15.4%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	203	0.005	$1.01	$-11.49	-91.9%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	200	0.005	$1.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $80 in August?	Yes	6	0.155	$0.88	$-1.12	-55.9%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	142	0.005	$0.78	$-25.22	-97.0%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	3	0.245	$0.68	$-0.32	-31.9%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?	Yes	130	0.005	$0.65	$-0.35	-35.2%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	111	0.005	$0.56	$-0.44	-44.4%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at >$130 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?	Yes	2	0.245	$0.46	$-0.54	-53.8%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?	Yes	59	0.006	$0.36	$-0.64	-64.5%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	3	0.114	$0.34	$-1.66	-82.9%
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	2	0.115	$0.17	$-0.83	-82.6%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	27	0.005	$0.15	$-2.85	-95.0%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $108 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	22	0.006	$0.13	$-4.87	-97.4%