PnL (30d)

−$56

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$22

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-5.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

27%

59W / 160L · 38 open

Win Return (30d)

28%

73W / 184L

Trades (30d)

257

across 73 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$0.91

avg win $29 · loss $13

Profit Factor

0.90

$499 won / $554 lost

Reward / Risk

2.33

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$354

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	39.2% 245W/380L	223	$2,762
₿ Crypto	18.3% 15W/67L	44	$704
💵 Economy	18.5% 15W/66L	43	$703
🤖 Tech	—	4	$90

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

25 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.25 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	515	0.290	$149.39	$76.89	+106.1%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $95?	No	276	0.215	$59.24	$9.24	+18.5%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	406	0.105	$42.64	$12.64	+42.1%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $135?	Yes	138	0.290	$39.89	$2.39	+6.4%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.50 in August?	Yes	183	0.200	$36.67	$15.67	+74.6%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 in August?	Yes	189	0.178	$33.66	$-4.34	-11.4%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.75 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	313	0.065	$20.31	$-35.01	-63.3%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	142	0.085	$12.11	$-13.89	-53.4%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $90?	No	115	0.075	$8.62	$-2.38	-21.6%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at <$85 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?	Yes	75	0.105	$7.93	$-2.07	-20.7%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	27	0.105	$2.86	$-0.14	-4.5%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in August?	Yes	9	0.210	$1.83	$-0.17	-8.7%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $85?	No	15	0.105	$1.62	$-0.38	-19.2%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	203	0.006	$1.32	$-11.18	-89.5%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $168 in August?	Yes	3	0.365	$0.94	$-0.06	-6.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	200	0.004	$0.90	$-0.10	-10.0%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	3	0.295	$0.82	$-0.18	-18.1%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $80 in August?	Yes	6	0.130	$0.74	$-1.26	-63.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?	Yes	130	0.005	$0.71	$-0.29	-28.7%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at >$130 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?	Yes	2	0.335	$0.63	$-0.37	-36.8%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	111	0.004	$0.50	$-0.50	-50.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?	Yes	59	0.006	$0.38	$-0.62	-61.5%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	3	0.114	$0.34	$-1.66	-82.9%
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	2	0.115	$0.17	$-0.83	-82.6%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $108 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	22	0.007	$0.15	$-4.85	-96.9%