PnL (30d)

−$3,558

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1,403

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-53.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 15L · 17 open

Win Return (30d)

47%

15W / 17L

Trades (30d)

32

across 6 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$1,778.91

· loss $1,779

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $3,558 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

−$3,558

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	72.7% 40W/15L	11	$14,672
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/15L	4	$3,601
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/15L	2	$3,558

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

52 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?	No	2,165	0.760	$1,645.11	$700.35	+74.1%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	18,310	0.015	$274.65	$219.72	+400.0%
Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	No	217	0.971	$210.28	$-0.17	-0.1%
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	208	0.965	$200.62	$16.75	+9.1%
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	589	0.095	$55.92	$-174.31	-75.7%
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	301	0.140	$42.04	$-8.31	-16.5%
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	354	0.100	$35.22	$-88.13	-71.4%
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Yes	130	0.260	$33.80	$-23.40	-40.9%
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	No	27	0.904	$24.50	$7.81	+46.8%
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Yes	412	0.044	$18.12	$-4.84	-21.1%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	No	25	0.708	$17.47	$0.96	+5.8%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	179	0.095	$17.03	$-79.88	-82.4%
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	0.002	$15.00	$-47.51	-76.0%
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	0.002	$15.00	$-47.51	-76.0%
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	0.002	$15.00	$-47.51	-76.0%
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	0.002	$15.00	$-47.51	-76.0%
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	0.002	$15.00	$-47.51	-76.0%
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	0.002	$15.00	$-47.51	-76.0%
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?	Yes	47	0.240	$11.27	$2.82	+33.3%
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	4,000	0.003	$10.00	$-11.76	-54.0%
Will Illinois use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	10	0.966	$9.66	$0.96	+11.0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	701	0.013	$8.76	$-2.36	-21.2%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	100	0.085	$8.50	$-13.50	-61.4%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	Yes	46	0.140	$6.44	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2,524	0.003	$6.31	$-13.32	-67.9%