| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? |
No |
2,165 |
0.775 |
$1,677.58 |
$732.82 |
+77.6% |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
18,310 |
0.015 |
$274.65 |
$219.72 |
+400.0% |
| Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? |
No |
217 |
0.971 |
$210.28 |
$-0.17 |
-0.1% |
| Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
No |
208 |
0.966 |
$200.82 |
$16.96 |
+9.2% |
| Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
No |
589 |
0.090 |
$52.98 |
$-177.25 |
-77.0% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? |
Yes |
301 |
0.140 |
$42.04 |
$-8.31 |
-16.5% |
| Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? |
Yes |
354 |
0.100 |
$35.22 |
$-88.13 |
-71.4% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? |
Yes |
130 |
0.265 |
$34.45 |
$-22.75 |
-39.8% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? |
No |
27 |
0.904 |
$24.50 |
$7.81 |
+46.8% |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? |
Yes |
412 |
0.044 |
$18.12 |
$-4.84 |
-21.1% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? |
No |
25 |
0.694 |
$17.11 |
$0.61 |
+3.7% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
179 |
0.095 |
$17.03 |
$-79.88 |
-82.4% |
| Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.002 |
$15.00 |
$-47.51 |
-76.0% |
| Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.002 |
$15.00 |
$-47.51 |
-76.0% |
| Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.002 |
$15.00 |
$-47.51 |
-76.0% |
| Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.002 |
$15.00 |
$-47.51 |
-76.0% |
| Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.002 |
$15.00 |
$-47.51 |
-76.0% |
| Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.002 |
$15.00 |
$-47.51 |
-76.0% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? |
Yes |
47 |
0.225 |
$10.56 |
$2.11 |
+25.0% |
| Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
4,000 |
0.003 |
$10.00 |
$-11.76 |
-54.0% |
| Will Illinois use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
No |
10 |
0.966 |
$9.66 |
$0.96 |
+11.0% |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
701 |
0.013 |
$9.46 |
$-1.66 |
-14.9% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.085 |
$8.50 |
$-13.50 |
-61.4% |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,524 |
0.003 |
$6.31 |
$-13.32 |
-67.9% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? |
Yes |
46 |
0.135 |
$6.21 |
$-0.23 |
-3.6% |