88blitzcrank
0xa5fda0340959e67ef9de8bc5caf1c502c6f736d1
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$270
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$8,247
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
35%
106W / 200L · 527 open
Win Return (30d)
20%
169W / 664L
Trades (30d)
833
across 16 markets · ~52 per market
EV / position
−$45.06
avg win $396 · loss $265
Profit Factor
0.75
$791 won / $1,062 lost
Reward / Risk
1.49
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$311
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $66,974 · all-time $4,827,151
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
Yes |
74,688 |
0.034 |
$2,539.41 |
$-6,290.56 |
-71.2% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
68,758 |
0.019 |
$1,340.79 |
$-1,710.43 |
-56.1% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? |
Yes |
3,194 |
0.037 |
$119.77 |
$-1.64 |
-1.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
1,111 |
0.070 |
$77.77 |
$-11.11 |
-12.5% |