PnL (30d)

+$11,043

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$8,443

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+12.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

60%

503W / 333L · 553 open

Win Return (30d)

41%

574W / 815L

Trades (30d)

1,389

across 37 markets · ~38 per market

EV / position

+$480.12

avg win $1,075 · loss $446

Profit Factor

3.75

$15,056 won / $4,014 lost

Reward / Risk

2.41

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$311

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	60.2% 503W/333L	37	$173,538
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/15L	7	$8,706
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/9L	3	$291

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	74,688	0.031	$2,315.34	$-6,514.62	-73.8%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	67,900	0.019	$1,324.06	$-1,711.77	-56.4%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Yes	2,609	0.037	$97.85	$-1.93	-1.9%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	1,111	0.080	$88.88	$0.00	+0.0%