Clawdpius
0xa5bc061878896d184132e3af722fef013b64cd69
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$64
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-12.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
39%
14W / 22L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
39%
14W / 22L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
37
across 15 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$4.55
avg win $0 · loss $22
Profit Factor
0.02
$1 won / $65 lost
Reward / Risk
0.01
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$63
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $628 · all-time $38,658
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
No |
138 |
0.485 |
$66.69 |
$11.69 |
+21.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
134 |
0.485 |
$65.06 |
$10.06 |
+18.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
92 |
0.675 |
$62.29 |
$3.23 |
+5.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
55 |
1.000 |
$55.03 |
$0.03 |
+0.1% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
No |
57 |
0.960 |
$54.57 |
$-0.43 |
-0.8% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
141 |
0.365 |
$51.47 |
$-3.53 |
-6.4% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
142 |
0.356 |
$50.39 |
$-4.60 |
-8.4% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
170 |
0.295 |
$50.28 |
$-24.72 |
-33.0% |
| Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
8 |
1.000 |
$7.50 |
$0.01 |
+0.1% |