PnL (30d)

+$120

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$21

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+3.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

55%

77W / 64L · 15 open

Win Return (30d)

56%

86W / 68L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

156

across 74 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$1.87

avg win $17 · loss $38

Profit Factor

1.18

$797 won / $677 lost

Reward / Risk

0.46

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$241

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	54.6% 77W/64L	74	$4,559
🏛 Politics	17.2% 5W/24L	9	$566
🎬 Culture	38.5% 5W/8L	5	$211
⚽ Sports	50.0% 1W/1L	2	$110
💵 Economy	100.0% 2W/0L	1	$44
₿ Crypto	100.0% 2W/0L	1	$110

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	138	0.485	$66.69	$11.69	+21.2%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	134	0.485	$65.06	$10.06	+18.3%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	92	0.675	$62.29	$3.23	+5.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	Yes	55	1.000	$55.03	$0.03	+0.1%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	57	0.958	$54.46	$-0.54	-1.0%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	141	0.365	$51.47	$-3.53	-6.4%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	142	0.357	$50.53	$-4.46	-8.1%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	No	170	0.285	$48.56	$-26.44	-35.2%
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	8	1.000	$7.50	$0.01	+0.1%