PnL (30d)

−$10,437

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1,442

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-8.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

62%

66W / 41L · 17 open

Win Return (30d)

53%

66W / 58L

Trades (30d)

124

across 17 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

−$652.30

avg win $147 · loss $2,411

Profit Factor

0.13

$1,618 won / $12,055 lost

Reward / Risk

0.06

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,083

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	62.9% 258W/152L	54	$269,229
🏛 Politics	10.0% 1W/9L	2	$11,045
💵 Economy	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$9,960

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	14,693	0.961	$14,112.63	$6,766.13	+92.1%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	1,000	0.955	$954.50	$-2.50	-0.3%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	14,693	0.040	$580.37	$-6,766.13	-92.1%