PnL (30d)

−$8,618

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1,440

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-4.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

63%

258W / 152L · 19 open

Win Return (30d)

61%

260W / 169L

Trades (30d)

429

across 54 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

−$165.72

avg win $94 · loss $1,030

Profit Factor

0.30

$3,745 won / $12,363 lost

Reward / Risk

0.09

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,083

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	62.9% 258W/152L	54	$269,229
🏛 Politics	10.0% 1W/9L	2	$11,045
💵 Economy	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$9,960

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	14,693	0.961	$14,112.63	$6,766.13	+92.1%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	1,000	0.954	$954.00	$-3.00	-0.3%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	14,693	0.040	$580.37	$-6,766.13	-92.1%