sleepy-panda
0xa49becb692927d455924583b5e3e5788246f4c40
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$232,945
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-16.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
24%
483W / 1,524L
Win Return (30d)
24%
483W / 1,524L
Trades (30d)
2,007
across 29 markets · ~69 per market
EV / position
−$8,032.59
avg win $47,869 · loss $47,493
Profit Factor
0.71
$574,432 won / $807,377 lost
Reward / Risk
1.01
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $147,552 · all-time $183,584,350
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
1,950 |
0.790 |
$1,541.71 |
$566.56 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,950 |
0.209 |
$408.59 |
$-566.56 |
-58.1% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
58 |
0.455 |
$26.35 |
$-8.40 |
-24.2% |