sleepy-panda
0xa49becb692927d455924583b5e3e5788246f4c40
PnL (30d)
−$830,596
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$7
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-39.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
23%
538W / 1,851L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
23%
538W / 1,853L
Trades (30d)
2,391
across 42 markets · ~57 per market
EV / position
−$20,258.44
avg win $38,453 · loss $54,130
Profit Factor
0.41
$576,792 won / $1,407,388 lost
Reward / Risk
0.71
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$148,900
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $147,552 · all-time $183,584,350
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
1,950 |
0.790 |
$1,541.71 |
$566.56 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,950 |
0.209 |
$408.59 |
$-566.56 |
-58.1% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
58 |
0.455 |
$26.35 |
$-8.40 |
-24.2% |