| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
48,034 |
0.595 |
$28,580.23 |
$4,563.23 |
+19.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
48,034 |
0.405 |
$19,453.77 |
$-4,563.23 |
-19.0% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
9,481 |
0.189 |
$1,787.16 |
$307.86 |
+20.8% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? |
No |
1,637 |
0.835 |
$1,367.19 |
$22.44 |
+1.7% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? |
No |
991 |
0.908 |
$900.71 |
$147.51 |
+19.6% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
1,414 |
0.615 |
$869.34 |
$116.54 |
+15.5% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
3,836 |
0.165 |
$632.87 |
$94.73 |
+17.6% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026? |
No |
616 |
0.983 |
$605.41 |
$121.41 |
+25.1% |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026? |
No |
559 |
0.995 |
$555.49 |
$10.15 |
+1.9% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? |
Yes |
553 |
0.890 |
$492.39 |
$-8.98 |
-1.8% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
1,077 |
0.450 |
$484.67 |
$-129.47 |
-21.1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
2,319 |
0.186 |
$431.42 |
$203.97 |
+89.7% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
469 |
0.835 |
$391.33 |
$148.71 |
+61.3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
699 |
0.455 |
$318.13 |
$196.10 |
+160.7% |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? |
No |
317 |
0.963 |
$305.00 |
$5.38 |
+1.8% |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0%? |
No |
263 |
0.996 |
$262.03 |
$46.05 |
+21.3% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026? |
No |
1,939 |
0.115 |
$222.99 |
$-736.72 |
-76.8% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
267 |
0.835 |
$222.72 |
$5.49 |
+2.5% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in August 2026? |
No |
225 |
0.935 |
$210.37 |
$23.73 |
+12.7% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
416 |
0.475 |
$197.60 |
$-3.16 |
-1.6% |
| Will July 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record? |
No |
194 |
0.997 |
$193.42 |
$1.42 |
+0.7% |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
3,512 |
0.046 |
$163.29 |
$-41.66 |
-20.3% |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
No |
205 |
0.795 |
$163.01 |
$37.88 |
+30.3% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
Yes |
545 |
0.285 |
$155.23 |
$-138.89 |
-47.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5? |
Yes |
151 |
1.000 |
$151.07 |
$143.25 |
+1831.6% |