| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
48,034 |
0.595 |
$28,580.23 |
$4,563.23 |
+19.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
48,034 |
0.405 |
$19,453.77 |
$-4,563.23 |
-19.0% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
9,481 |
0.189 |
$1,787.16 |
$307.86 |
+20.8% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? |
No |
1,637 |
0.835 |
$1,367.19 |
$22.44 |
+1.7% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? |
No |
991 |
0.908 |
$900.71 |
$147.51 |
+19.6% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
1,414 |
0.615 |
$869.34 |
$116.54 |
+15.5% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
3,836 |
0.165 |
$632.87 |
$94.73 |
+17.6% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026? |
No |
616 |
0.983 |
$605.41 |
$121.41 |
+25.1% |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026? |
No |
559 |
0.995 |
$555.49 |
$10.15 |
+1.9% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? |
Yes |
553 |
0.895 |
$495.16 |
$-6.22 |
-1.2% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
1,077 |
0.455 |
$490.05 |
$-124.09 |
-20.2% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
2,319 |
0.183 |
$424.46 |
$197.01 |
+86.6% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
469 |
0.835 |
$391.33 |
$148.71 |
+61.3% |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? |
No |
317 |
0.958 |
$303.41 |
$3.79 |
+1.3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
699 |
0.425 |
$297.16 |
$175.12 |
+143.5% |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0%? |
No |
263 |
0.996 |
$262.03 |
$46.05 |
+21.3% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026? |
No |
1,939 |
0.125 |
$242.38 |
$-717.33 |
-74.7% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
267 |
0.835 |
$222.72 |
$5.49 |
+2.5% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in August 2026? |
No |
225 |
0.935 |
$210.37 |
$23.73 |
+12.7% |
| Will July 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record? |
No |
194 |
0.997 |
$193.42 |
$1.42 |
+0.7% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
416 |
0.450 |
$187.20 |
$-13.56 |
-6.8% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
Yes |
545 |
0.310 |
$168.91 |
$-125.21 |
-42.6% |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
3,519 |
0.046 |
$163.65 |
$-41.76 |
-20.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5? |
Yes |
151 |
0.999 |
$151.00 |
$143.17 |
+1830.7% |
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B? |
No |
169 |
0.855 |
$144.50 |
$120.84 |
+510.7% |