digitalAlias
0xa40fa2ce4ea68b1e6fc249ffb9e572ce6b1970dc
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$7
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$7
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
11%
2W / 17L · 12 open
Win Return (30d)
39%
12W / 19L
Trades (30d)
31
across 8 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$1.83
avg win $1 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.08
$1 won / $8 lost
Reward / Risk
0.23
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $28 · all-time $48,568
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
64 |
0.515 |
$32.96 |
$6.07 |
+22.6% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
20 |
0.966 |
$19.32 |
$2.82 |
+17.1% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
21 |
0.485 |
$10.19 |
$-1.57 |
-13.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.325 |
$2.47 |
$-0.72 |
-22.6% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
13 |
0.135 |
$1.75 |
$0.32 |
+22.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
Yes |
10 |
0.034 |
$0.34 |
$-1.16 |
-77.3% |