PnL (30d)

−$25

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$7

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

23%

43W / 142L · 26 open

Win Return (30d)

27%

56W / 155L

Trades (30d)

211

across 40 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$0.82

avg win $6 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.70

$56 won / $81 lost

Reward / Risk

1.62

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	23.2% 43W/142L	40	$1,058
🏛 Politics	—	2	$40
💵 Economy	—	1	$39

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	64	0.515	$32.96	$6.07	+22.6%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	20	0.966	$19.32	$2.82	+17.1%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	21	0.485	$10.19	$-1.57	-13.4%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	8	0.325	$2.47	$-0.72	-22.6%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	13	0.135	$1.75	$0.32	+22.7%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	10	0.034	$0.34	$-1.16	-77.3%