podosome12
0xa2ffa2cc76d44d2429ebc9eb44744e414cfb6ab4
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$632
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-36.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
80%
12W / 3L
Win Return (30d)
80%
12W / 3L
Trades (30d)
15
across 3 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$210.55
avg win $56 · loss $743
Profit Factor
0.15
$111 won / $743 lost
Reward / Risk
0.08
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$743
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,613 · all-time $161,447
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
89.8%
88W/10L
|
22 |
$11,322 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
80.0%
12W/3L
|
3 |
$2,801 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
170 |
0.675 |
$114.50 |
$3.50 |
+3.2% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.095 |
$95.00 |
$-385.00 |
-80.2% |
| Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? |
Yes |
115 |
0.415 |
$47.64 |
$-12.35 |
-20.6% |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
357 |
0.055 |
$19.64 |
$-80.36 |
-80.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
54 |
0.160 |
$8.71 |
$-1.09 |
-11.1% |