PnL (30d)

−$161

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$29

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

90%

88W / 10L · 2 open

Win Return (30d)

89%

89W / 11L

Trades (30d)

100

across 22 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$8.04

avg win $33 · loss $381

Profit Factor

0.79

$600 won / $761 lost

Reward / Risk

0.09

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$743

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	89.8% 88W/10L	22	$11,322
🌤 Weather	80.0% 12W/3L	3	$2,801

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	170	0.675	$114.50	$3.50	+3.2%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.095	$95.00	$-385.00	-80.2%
Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	Yes	115	0.415	$47.64	$-12.35	-20.6%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	357	0.055	$19.64	$-80.36	-80.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	54	0.165	$8.98	$-0.82	-8.3%