PnL (30d)

+$50

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$655

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

100%

5W / 0L · 60 open

Win Return (30d)

29%

19W / 46L

Trades (30d)

65

across 5 markets · ~13 per market

EV / position

+$25.12

avg win $25

Profit Factor

∞

no losses yet

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	65.8% 25W/13L	20	$7,111
🌤 Weather	—	1	$120
🔬 Science	—	1	$120

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?	Yes	2,310	0.885	$2,044.20	$966.12	+89.6%
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	967	0.875	$845.77	$234.06	+38.3%
Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	Yes	5,638	0.078	$439.74	$89.87	+25.7%
Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	4,648	0.062	$290.53	$-243.75	-45.6%