PnL (30d)

−$527

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1,038

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-10.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

66%

25W / 13L · 118 open

Win Return (30d)

61%

93W / 59L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

156

across 20 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

−$40.56

avg win $148 · loss $158

Profit Factor

0.58

$740 won / $1,268 lost

Reward / Risk

0.93

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	65.8% 25W/13L	20	$7,111
🌤 Weather	—	1	$120
🔬 Science	—	1	$120

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?	Yes	2,310	0.885	$2,044.20	$966.12	+89.6%
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	967	0.875	$845.77	$234.06	+38.3%
Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	Yes	5,638	0.078	$439.74	$89.87	+25.7%
Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	4,648	0.062	$290.53	$-243.75	-45.6%