PnL (30d)

−$97

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$135

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

13%

16W / 104L · 51 open

Win Return (30d)

9%

16W / 155L

Trades (30d)

171

across 9 markets · ~19 per market

EV / position

−$16.23

avg win $712 · loss $162

Profit Factor

0.88

$712 won / $809 lost

Reward / Risk

4.40

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$62

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	34.8% 14,988W/28,046L	1792	$7,160,992
⚽ Sports	45.8% 3,593W/4,255L	546	$1,261,000
🏛 Politics	40.0% 2W/3L	23	$5,543
🎬 Culture	—	12	$655
💵 Economy	40.0% 2W/3L	6	$976
₿ Crypto	—	4	$803
🌤 Weather	—	4	$109
🔬 Science	—	4	$109
🤖 Tech	—	1	$505

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

134 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	105,487	0.209	$22,099.51	$2,953.00	+15.4%
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	98,732	0.133	$13,082.05	$332.33	+2.6%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	87,624	0.135	$11,829.24	$-3,999.60	-25.3%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	63,543	0.135	$8,546.53	$-128.42	-1.5%
Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan	Soon-Woo Kwon	8,692	0.835	$7,257.66	$-151.18	-2.0%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	34,149	0.184	$6,300.52	$-2,220.65	-26.1%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	10,994	0.405	$4,452.61	$-139.10	-3.0%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	36,381	0.117	$4,238.42	$-1,443.46	-25.4%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	6,459	0.555	$3,584.74	$12.57	+0.4%
Warsaw: Elizara Yaneva vs Yue Yuan	Elizara Yaneva	6,223	0.545	$3,391.53	$277.12	+8.9%
Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	25,930	0.110	$2,852.29	$-125.19	-4.2%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	5,359	0.515	$2,760.11	$1.72	+0.1%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs	Los Angeles Dodgers	4,909	0.465	$2,282.55	$-44.07	-1.9%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	3,647	0.555	$2,024.09	$9.01	+0.4%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	12,950	0.135	$1,748.31	$-113.21	-6.1%
Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	4,006	0.435	$1,742.56	$24.17	+1.4%
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	1,912	0.895	$1,711.69	$41.58	+2.5%
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-05?	Yes	3,089	0.455	$1,405.53	$-15.45	-1.1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	1,511	0.906	$1,370.03	$-6.81	-0.5%
Warsaw: Martyna Kubka vs Mona Barthel	Mona Barthel	1,303	1.000	$1,302.35	$179.96	+16.0%
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	26,455	0.046	$1,230.14	$-218.99	-15.1%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	1,908	0.625	$1,192.46	$3.62	+0.3%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	5,902	0.175	$1,032.84	$-113.52	-9.9%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	1,383	0.745	$1,029.84	$82.49	+8.7%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	11,627	0.088	$1,028.99	$355.49	+52.8%