PnL (30d)

−$1,215,237

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2,058

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-19.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

35%

14,988W / 28,045L · 2,054 open

Win Return (30d)

35%

15,754W / 29,320L · 13 open

Trades (30d)

45,087

across 1,792 markets · ~25 per market

EV / position

−$727.69

avg win $2,495 · loss $3,129

Profit Factor

0.59

$1,778,918 won / $2,994,155 lost

Reward / Risk

0.80

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$188,183

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	34.8% 14,988W/28,045L	1792	$7,160,992
⚽ Sports	44.1% 3,824W/4,849L	594	$1,391,047
🏛 Politics	50.0% 3W/3L	24	$5,794
🎬 Culture	—	12	$656
💵 Economy	50.0% 3W/3L	6	$1,235
₿ Crypto	—	4	$1,213
🌤 Weather	—	4	$109
🔬 Science	—	4	$109
🤖 Tech	—	1	$576

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

131 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	105,487	0.209	$22,099.51	$2,953.00	+15.4%
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	98,732	0.134	$13,180.78	$431.07	+3.4%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	87,511	0.135	$11,814.03	$-3,999.09	-25.3%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	63,543	0.135	$8,546.53	$-128.42	-1.5%
Hagen: Zsombor Piros vs Diego Dedura-Palomero	Zsombor Piros	7,003	0.940	$6,583.19	$2,451.30	+59.3%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	34,149	0.184	$6,300.52	$-2,220.65	-26.1%
Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan	Soon-Woo Kwon	5,743	0.865	$4,967.42	$94.80	+1.9%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	10,994	0.405	$4,452.61	$-139.10	-3.0%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	36,381	0.117	$4,238.42	$-1,443.46	-25.4%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	6,459	0.555	$3,584.74	$12.57	+0.4%
Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	25,930	0.110	$2,852.29	$-125.19	-4.2%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	5,359	0.515	$2,760.11	$1.72	+0.1%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	3,647	0.555	$2,024.09	$9.01	+0.4%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	12,950	0.135	$1,748.31	$-113.21	-6.1%
Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	4,006	0.435	$1,742.56	$24.17	+1.4%
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	1,912	0.895	$1,711.69	$41.58	+2.5%
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-05?	Yes	3,089	0.455	$1,405.53	$-15.45	-1.1%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs	Los Angeles Dodgers	2,956	0.475	$1,403.97	$14.78	+1.1%
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	26,455	0.046	$1,230.14	$-218.99	-15.1%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group	Nongshim Red Force	2,126	0.555	$1,179.83	$-126.50	-9.7%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	5,902	0.175	$1,032.84	$-113.52	-9.9%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	1,383	0.745	$1,030.53	$83.18	+8.8%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	11,627	0.088	$1,028.99	$355.49	+52.8%
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	12,022	0.085	$1,021.87	$48.56	+5.0%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	1,106	0.909	$1,006.22	$-2.48	-0.2%