| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
30,931 |
0.625 |
$19,332.05 |
$-731.25 |
-3.6% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
17,928 |
0.852 |
$15,265.82 |
$2,763.50 |
+22.1% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
26,799 |
0.480 |
$12,863.31 |
$951.27 |
+8.0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
24,061 |
0.525 |
$12,632.08 |
$1,589.38 |
+14.4% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
14,987 |
0.455 |
$6,819.26 |
$-2,328.98 |
-25.5% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
9,840 |
0.465 |
$4,575.59 |
$-344.40 |
-7.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
No |
6,000 |
0.665 |
$3,990.00 |
$-330.00 |
-7.6% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
No |
4,943 |
0.790 |
$3,905.16 |
$2,728.35 |
+231.8% |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? |
No |
3,100 |
0.620 |
$1,921.97 |
$403.33 |
+26.6% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
3,133 |
0.585 |
$1,832.58 |
$391.58 |
+27.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
1,728 |
0.815 |
$1,407.94 |
$862.34 |
+158.1% |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
1,015 |
0.755 |
$766.44 |
$472.04 |
+160.3% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Yes |
4,578 |
0.145 |
$663.88 |
$-881.61 |
-57.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
1,400 |
0.445 |
$622.89 |
$-34.99 |
-5.3% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? |
Yes |
4,335 |
0.125 |
$541.87 |
$-340.03 |
-38.6% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,013 |
0.440 |
$445.61 |
$-20.26 |
-4.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
1,247 |
0.225 |
$280.59 |
$-56.12 |
-16.7% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
231 |
0.013 |
$3.12 |
$-5.20 |
-62.5% |