| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
30,931 |
0.625 |
$19,332.05 |
$-731.25 |
-3.6% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
17,928 |
0.852 |
$15,274.78 |
$2,772.46 |
+22.2% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
26,799 |
0.465 |
$12,461.34 |
$549.29 |
+4.6% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
24,061 |
0.515 |
$12,391.47 |
$1,348.77 |
+12.2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
14,987 |
0.455 |
$6,819.26 |
$-2,328.98 |
-25.5% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
9,840 |
0.465 |
$4,575.59 |
$-344.40 |
-7.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
No |
6,000 |
0.665 |
$3,990.00 |
$-330.00 |
-7.6% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
No |
4,943 |
0.790 |
$3,905.16 |
$2,728.35 |
+231.8% |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? |
No |
3,100 |
0.615 |
$1,906.47 |
$387.83 |
+25.5% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
3,133 |
0.580 |
$1,816.91 |
$375.91 |
+26.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
1,728 |
0.815 |
$1,407.94 |
$862.34 |
+158.1% |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
1,015 |
0.785 |
$796.89 |
$502.50 |
+170.7% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Yes |
4,578 |
0.145 |
$663.88 |
$-881.61 |
-57.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
1,400 |
0.445 |
$622.89 |
$-34.99 |
-5.3% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? |
Yes |
4,335 |
0.125 |
$541.87 |
$-340.03 |
-38.6% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,013 |
0.440 |
$445.61 |
$-20.26 |
-4.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
1,247 |
0.225 |
$280.59 |
$-56.12 |
-16.7% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
231 |
0.017 |
$3.81 |
$-4.51 |
-54.2% |