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Trader leaderboard/redstar1987

redstar1987

0x9ffaa9cd1fb96e1fd635cae0a13e2022827fc8fc
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$302
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$21
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-15.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
27%
31W / 82L · 41 open
Win Return (30d)
29%
43W / 105L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
154
across 60 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$6.70
avg win $17 · loss $9
Profit Factor
0.18
$66 won / $368 lost
Reward / Risk
1.84
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $15,360 · all-time $1,523,365

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 34.1% 355W/686L 301 $7,881
🎬 Culture 22.2% 24W/84L 35 $609
🏛 Politics 22.4% 24W/83L 34 $608
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/3L 5 $88

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

30 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 6,204 0.075 $465.30 $-31.01 -6.2%
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 5,250 0.041 $212.63 $16.13 +8.2%
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) Ian Machado Garry 375 0.255 $95.62 $-5.62 -5.6%
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 1,500 0.045 $68.25 $1.35 +2.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 250 0.085 $21.25 $-8.00 -27.4%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 406 0.021 $8.53 $-13.45 -61.2%
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 52 0.086 $4.47 $2.08 +87.3%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 88 0.038 $3.39 $0.22 +6.9%
Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 51 0.060 $3.07 $-2.03 -39.7%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 420 0.006 $2.73 $-18.28 -87.0%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 118 0.016 $1.88 $-0.12 -5.9%
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? No 6 0.275 $1.77 $-0.23 -11.3%
Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? No 8 0.190 $1.52 $0.08 +5.6%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 500 0.003 $1.25 $-20.88 -94.4%
Will "Left" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? No 15 0.075 $1.12 $0.07 +7.1%
Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 17 0.065 $1.08 $0.08 +8.3%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 132 0.007 $0.93 $-0.07 -7.4%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 83 0.011 $0.88 $-2.12 -70.8%
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 12 0.060 $0.75 $-0.25 -25.0%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 250 0.003 $0.62 $-1.62 -72.2%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? Yes 1,059 0.001 $0.53 $-1.47 -73.5%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 125 0.004 $0.44 $-0.56 -56.2%
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in August 2026? Yes 5 0.075 $0.38 $0.21 +134.4%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 250 0.002 $0.38 $-1.12 -75.0%
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in August 2026? Yes 5 0.069 $0.34 $0.19 +128.3%