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Trader leaderboard/MrMelonHead

MrMelonHead

0x9f66aa958734d9d5af35f5f19a276d23e84f3a50
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$78
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-4.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
67%
22W / 11L
Win Return (30d)
67%
22W / 11L
Trades (30d)
33
across 9 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$8.72
avg win $25 · loss $76
Profit Factor
0.65
$148 won / $227 lost
Reward / Risk
0.33
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$100
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $32,819 · all-time $2,353,969

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 56.4% 457W/354L 229 $129,217
⚽ Sports 52.0% 13W/12L 18 $3,283
💵 Economy 100.0% 5W/0L 12 $1,920
₿ Crypto 100.0% 5W/0L 11 $1,720
🏛 Politics 38.9% 7W/11L 10 $3,551
🎬 Culture 66.7% 2W/1L 2 $325

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

43 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? No 2,000 0.905 $1,809.88 $601.37 +49.8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 2,013 0.564 $1,134.60 $-82.39 -6.8%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? No 1,000 0.955 $955.29 $341.01 +55.5%
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No 1,061 0.720 $763.76 $310.04 +68.3%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No 1,700 0.405 $688.65 $421.31 +157.6%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? No 716 0.940 $673.33 $101.30 +17.7%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? No 660 0.765 $505.24 $12.24 +2.5%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? No 446 0.895 $399.21 $118.16 +42.0%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? No 407 0.905 $368.34 $128.34 +53.5%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? Yes 414 0.880 $364.17 $157.17 +75.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 487 0.715 $348.07 $60.57 +21.1%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? Yes 349 0.955 $333.14 $33.14 +11.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? Yes 338 0.855 $289.00 $140.79 +95.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 438 0.655 $287.14 $5.19 +1.8%
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? No 589 0.430 $253.47 $-46.53 -15.5%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 466 0.495 $230.72 $-46.28 -16.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 573 0.385 $220.69 $-19.31 -8.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? Yes 179 0.910 $162.51 $62.50 +62.5%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? No 547 0.285 $155.88 $-46.12 -22.8%
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? No 197 0.780 $153.59 $53.59 +53.6%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No 286 0.520 $148.57 $48.57 +48.6%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No 2,093 0.070 $145.49 $-60.41 -29.3%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? Yes 172 0.815 $140.50 $40.50 +40.5%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026? No 142 0.905 $128.09 $-1.91 -1.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? Yes 642 0.195 $125.20 $-314.80 -71.5%