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Trader leaderboard/MrMelonHead

MrMelonHead

0x9f66aa958734d9d5af35f5f19a276d23e84f3a50
PnL (30d)
−$3,199
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$461
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
56%
457W / 354L · 275 open
Win Return (30d)
55%
594W / 492L
Trades (30d)
1,086
across 229 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$18.60
avg win $75 · loss $128
Profit Factor
0.68
$6,937 won / $10,135 lost
Reward / Risk
0.58
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$940
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $32,819 · all-time $2,353,969

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 56.4% 457W/354L 229 $129,217
⚽ Sports 52.0% 13W/12L 18 $3,283
💵 Economy 100.0% 5W/0L 12 $1,920
₿ Crypto 100.0% 5W/0L 11 $1,720
🏛 Politics 38.9% 7W/11L 10 $3,551
🎬 Culture 66.7% 2W/1L 2 $325

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

43 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? No 2,000 0.895 $1,789.88 $581.37 +48.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 1,834 0.554 $1,016.07 $-100.92 -9.0%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? No 1,000 0.955 $955.29 $341.01 +55.5%
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No 1,061 0.710 $753.15 $299.43 +66.0%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No 1,700 0.405 $688.65 $421.31 +157.6%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? No 716 0.940 $673.33 $101.30 +17.7%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? No 660 0.790 $521.75 $28.75 +5.8%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? No 446 0.895 $399.21 $118.16 +42.0%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? No 407 0.905 $368.34 $128.34 +53.5%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? Yes 414 0.870 $360.03 $153.03 +73.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 487 0.715 $348.07 $60.57 +21.1%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? Yes 349 0.945 $329.65 $29.65 +9.9%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? No 319 0.987 $314.93 $14.93 +5.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? Yes 338 0.850 $287.31 $139.10 +93.9%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 438 0.655 $287.14 $5.19 +1.8%
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? No 589 0.430 $253.47 $-46.53 -15.5%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 466 0.485 $226.05 $-50.94 -18.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 471 0.380 $178.85 $-21.15 -10.6%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? Yes 179 0.905 $161.62 $61.61 +61.6%
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? No 197 0.780 $153.59 $53.59 +53.6%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No 286 0.515 $147.14 $47.14 +47.1%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No 2,093 0.070 $145.49 $-60.41 -29.3%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? Yes 172 0.815 $140.50 $40.50 +40.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? Yes 642 0.175 $112.36 $-327.64 -74.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? Yes 145 0.750 $108.59 $-21.41 -16.5%