PnL (30d)

−$296

Tech · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2,437

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

16%

7W / 37L · 424 open

Win Return (30d)

70%

328W / 140L

Trades (30d)

468

across 40 markets · ~12 per market

EV / position

−$32.94

avg win $1,073 · loss $171

Profit Factor

0.78

$1,073 won / $1,369 lost

Reward / Risk

6.27

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	66.1% 2,931W/1,504L	570	$379,990
💵 Economy	57.9% 224W/163L	85	$31,474
🤖 Tech	—	6	$127
🏛 Politics	—	3	$773

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

176 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will ICU Medical (ICUI) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	3,988	0.926	$3,692.65	$210.85	+6.1%
Will ZoomInfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	2,394	0.955	$2,286.00	$305.67	+15.4%
Will New York Times (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	1,877	0.985	$1,849.26	$190.84	+11.5%
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	34,758	0.045	$1,564.11	$-372.64	-19.2%
Will Kraft Heinz (KHC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	2,035	0.750	$1,526.49	$-165.93	-9.8%
Will News Corp (NWSA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	1,674	0.910	$1,523.37	$270.90	+21.6%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?	No	1,876	0.765	$1,435.48	$106.72	+8.0%
Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	1,304	0.860	$1,120.80	$8.72	+0.8%
Will AppLovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	1,227	0.850	$1,042.66	$36.28	+3.6%
Will Frontdoor (FTDR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	1,060	0.940	$996.26	$100.35	+11.2%
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	1,692	0.565	$955.55	$149.20	+18.5%
Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	921	0.955	$879.56	$51.26	+6.2%
Will Charles River (CRL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	928	0.945	$877.15	$90.99	+11.6%
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	4,992	0.160	$798.71	$0.18	+0.0%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by December 31?	No	1,285	0.610	$783.85	$390.68	+99.4%
Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	729	0.950	$692.19	$68.90	+11.1%
Will Walt Disney (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	733	0.885	$648.94	$36.79	+6.0%
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	4,146	0.155	$642.58	$239.76	+59.5%
Will Yelp (YELP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	771	0.795	$612.67	$40.60	+7.1%
Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	603	0.920	$554.42	$44.51	+8.7%
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by December 31?	No	767	0.695	$532.81	$32.48	+6.5%
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?	No	581	0.905	$526.18	$152.78	+40.9%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by August 31?	Yes	1,194	0.425	$507.52	$331.68	+188.6%
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	1,331	0.375	$499.03	$149.01	+42.6%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	2,908	0.165	$479.80	$26.35	+5.8%