PnL (30d)

+$2,995

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$8,846

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

66%

2,931W / 1,504L · 1,834 open

Win Return (30d)

68%

4,260W / 1,988L · 21 open

Trades (30d)

6,269

across 570 markets · ~11 per market

EV / position

+$7.27

avg win $141 · loss $119

Profit Factor

1.12

$28,199 won / $25,205 lost

Reward / Risk

1.19

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$8,678

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	66.1% 2,931W/1,504L	570	$379,990
💵 Economy	54.9% 287W/236L	104	$45,463
🤖 Tech	—	6	$127
🏛 Politics	—	3	$785

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

176 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will ICU Medical (ICUI) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	3,988	0.924	$3,686.67	$204.87	+5.9%
Will ZoomInfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	2,394	0.950	$2,274.03	$293.70	+14.8%
Will New York Times (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	1,877	0.945	$1,774.16	$115.74	+7.0%
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	34,758	0.045	$1,564.11	$-372.64	-19.2%
Will News Corp (NWSA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	1,674	0.910	$1,523.37	$270.90	+21.6%
Will Kraft Heinz (KHC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	2,035	0.725	$1,475.61	$-216.81	-12.8%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?	No	1,876	0.760	$1,426.09	$97.33	+7.3%
Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	1,304	0.860	$1,120.80	$8.72	+0.8%
Will AppLovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	1,227	0.850	$1,042.66	$36.28	+3.6%
Will Frontdoor (FTDR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	1,060	0.920	$975.06	$79.15	+8.8%
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	1,692	0.565	$955.55	$149.20	+18.5%
Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	921	0.953	$877.72	$49.42	+6.0%
Will Charles River (CRL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	928	0.925	$858.58	$72.42	+9.2%
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	4,991	0.165	$823.47	$25.12	+3.1%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by December 31?	No	1,285	0.610	$783.85	$390.68	+99.4%
Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	729	0.948	$690.73	$67.45	+10.8%
Will Walt Disney (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	733	0.885	$648.94	$36.79	+6.0%
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	4,146	0.155	$642.58	$239.76	+59.5%
Will Yelp (YELP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	771	0.795	$612.67	$40.60	+7.1%
Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	603	0.920	$554.42	$44.51	+8.7%
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by December 31?	No	767	0.695	$532.81	$32.48	+6.5%
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?	No	581	0.905	$526.18	$152.78	+40.9%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by August 31?	Yes	1,194	0.435	$519.46	$343.62	+195.4%
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	1,331	0.375	$499.03	$149.01	+42.6%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	2,908	0.165	$479.80	$26.35	+5.8%