| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
5,841 |
0.924 |
$5,399.71 |
$289.87 |
+5.7% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? |
No |
5,071 |
0.975 |
$4,941.85 |
$67.13 |
+1.4% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
3,271 |
0.645 |
$2,109.72 |
$-2.12 |
-0.1% |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
1,900 |
0.987 |
$1,874.39 |
$27.55 |
+1.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
1,987 |
0.805 |
$1,599.20 |
$144.92 |
+10.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
1,968 |
0.645 |
$1,269.39 |
$215.10 |
+20.4% |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,286 |
0.977 |
$1,256.77 |
$61.65 |
+5.2% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
1,699 |
0.710 |
$1,206.20 |
$77.60 |
+6.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,256 |
0.810 |
$1,017.47 |
$22.70 |
+2.3% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
3,407 |
0.261 |
$887.48 |
$4.51 |
+0.5% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? |
No |
996 |
0.855 |
$851.95 |
$23.44 |
+2.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
3,416 |
0.190 |
$648.99 |
$-901.68 |
-58.1% |
| Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
500 |
0.981 |
$490.24 |
$20.25 |
+4.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
750 |
0.623 |
$467.25 |
$33.00 |
+7.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
1,176 |
0.377 |
$443.42 |
$-13.79 |
-3.0% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
1,036 |
0.356 |
$369.36 |
$128.22 |
+53.2% |
| Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
363 |
0.987 |
$357.70 |
$19.47 |
+5.8% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
1,575 |
0.185 |
$291.33 |
$-7.87 |
-2.6% |
| Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? |
No |
200 |
0.920 |
$184.00 |
$18.00 |
+10.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
No |
168 |
0.855 |
$143.46 |
$15.78 |
+12.4% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,100 |
0.130 |
$143.00 |
$2.00 |
+1.4% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? |
No |
400 |
0.255 |
$101.99 |
$-17.50 |
-14.6% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? |
No |
100 |
0.875 |
$87.50 |
$-1.50 |
-1.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
500 |
0.155 |
$77.50 |
$2.50 |
+3.3% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,297 |
0.052 |
$67.45 |
$1.21 |
+1.8% |