| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
5,841 |
0.924 |
$5,399.71 |
$289.87 |
+5.7% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? |
No |
5,071 |
0.975 |
$4,941.85 |
$67.13 |
+1.4% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
3,619 |
0.645 |
$2,333.97 |
$-0.37 |
-0.0% |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
1,900 |
0.987 |
$1,874.39 |
$27.55 |
+1.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
1,987 |
0.845 |
$1,678.66 |
$224.38 |
+15.4% |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,285 |
0.977 |
$1,255.77 |
$61.60 |
+5.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,486 |
0.825 |
$1,226.07 |
$47.30 |
+4.0% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
1,699 |
0.715 |
$1,214.69 |
$86.09 |
+7.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
1,455 |
0.695 |
$1,011.04 |
$204.49 |
+25.4% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
3,512 |
0.264 |
$925.38 |
$15.00 |
+1.6% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? |
No |
996 |
0.855 |
$851.95 |
$23.44 |
+2.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
3,416 |
0.175 |
$597.75 |
$-952.92 |
-61.5% |
| Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
500 |
0.979 |
$489.49 |
$19.50 |
+4.1% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
1,036 |
0.353 |
$366.25 |
$125.11 |
+51.9% |
| Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
363 |
0.985 |
$356.98 |
$18.74 |
+5.5% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
1,575 |
0.185 |
$291.33 |
$-7.87 |
-2.6% |
| Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? |
No |
200 |
0.920 |
$184.00 |
$18.00 |
+10.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,100 |
0.135 |
$148.50 |
$7.50 |
+5.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
No |
168 |
0.865 |
$145.14 |
$17.46 |
+13.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
308 |
0.459 |
$141.26 |
$11.75 |
+9.1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
499 |
0.205 |
$102.40 |
$-15.77 |
-13.3% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? |
No |
400 |
0.255 |
$101.99 |
$-17.50 |
-14.6% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? |
No |
100 |
0.875 |
$87.50 |
$-1.50 |
-1.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
500 |
0.155 |
$77.50 |
$2.50 |
+3.3% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,297 |
0.052 |
$68.10 |
$1.86 |
+2.8% |