PnL (30d)

−$487

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$94

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

59%

742W / 508L · 40 open

Win Return (30d)

59%

757W / 530L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

1,290

across 165 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

−$3.22

avg win $10 · loss $41

Profit Factor

0.70

$1,162 won / $1,649 lost

Reward / Risk

0.25

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$118

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	62.6% 3,552W/2,118L	824	$464,274
₿ Crypto	51.1% 379W/362L	83	$56,692
💵 Economy	100.0% 7W/0L	4	$5,663
🤖 Tech	—	2	$29
🎬 Culture	100.0% 5W/0L	2	$41

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5?	Yes	7,800	1.000	$7,796.10	$19.84	+0.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5?	No	5,518	1.000	$5,515.00	$33.45	+0.6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 5?	No	4,141	0.999	$4,134.70	$-1.32	-0.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	No	2,000	0.993	$1,985.00	$3.00	+0.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?	No	1,800	0.938	$1,687.50	$-39.00	-2.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?	No	1,340	0.982	$1,315.88	$-7.96	-0.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	No	1,050	0.988	$1,036.88	$-4.94	-0.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5?	Yes	1,000	1.000	$999.50	$9.50	+1.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?	No	1,050	0.855	$897.75	$-53.75	-5.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?	No	876	0.972	$850.68	$-2.01	-0.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?	No	740	0.974	$720.76	$0.74	+0.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9?	No	700	0.987	$690.46	$1.30	+0.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?	No	645	0.954	$615.01	$4.63	+0.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 6?	Yes	600	0.999	$599.40	$1.23	+0.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?	No	594	0.984	$584.50	$0.00	+0.0%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?	No	612	0.949	$580.70	$15.86	+2.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	609	0.845	$514.60	$22.41	+4.6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 5?	No	500	1.000	$499.75	$0.75	+0.2%
Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?	No	500	0.969	$484.25	$14.25	+3.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9?	No	500	0.935	$467.50	$-7.35	-1.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	No	650	0.695	$451.69	$-60.31	-11.8%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	No	458	0.959	$439.23	$22.44	+5.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 August 3-9?	No	400	0.984	$393.60	$2.00	+0.5%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	No	400	0.962	$384.80	$32.80	+9.3%
Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026?	No	400	0.960	$384.00	$16.00	+4.3%