PnL (30d)

−$188

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$103

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

63%

3,552W / 2,110L · 158 open

Win Return (30d)

62%

3,619W / 2,182L · 19 open

Trades (30d)

5,820

across 818 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

−$0.25

avg win $13 · loss $26

Profit Factor

0.97

$6,518 won / $6,705 lost

Reward / Risk

0.51

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,449

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	62.7% 3,552W/2,110L	818	$460,391
₿ Crypto	51.0% 391W/376L	87	$69,301
💵 Economy	100.0% 7W/0L	4	$5,663
🤖 Tech	—	2	$29
🎬 Culture	100.0% 5W/0L	2	$41

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5?	Yes	7,800	1.000	$7,796.10	$19.84	+0.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5?	No	5,518	0.999	$5,512.24	$30.69	+0.6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 5?	No	4,141	1.000	$4,138.84	$2.82	+0.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	No	2,000	0.991	$1,981.00	$-1.00	-0.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?	No	1,800	0.944	$1,698.30	$-28.20	-1.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	No	1,050	0.988	$1,036.88	$-4.94	-0.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?	No	1,050	0.885	$929.25	$-22.25	-2.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?	No	876	0.975	$853.31	$0.61	+0.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?	No	740	0.971	$718.17	$-1.85	-0.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?	No	645	0.953	$614.36	$3.98	+0.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 6?	Yes	600	0.999	$599.40	$1.23	+0.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?	No	594	0.984	$584.50	$0.00	+0.0%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?	No	612	0.949	$580.40	$15.55	+2.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	609	0.840	$511.55	$19.36	+3.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 5?	No	500	1.000	$499.75	$0.75	+0.2%
Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?	No	500	0.969	$484.50	$14.50	+3.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	No	650	0.735	$477.75	$-34.25	-6.7%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	No	458	0.959	$439.23	$22.44	+5.4%
Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026?	No	400	0.977	$390.60	$22.60	+6.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	1,000	0.385	$385.00	$8.00	+2.1%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	No	400	0.959	$383.40	$31.40	+8.9%
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	410	0.855	$350.55	$58.15	+19.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	500	0.695	$347.45	$-21.55	-5.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6?	Yes	342	0.992	$338.97	$1.88	+0.6%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	343	0.935	$320.44	$20.85	+7.0%