| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
105,270 |
0.968 |
$101,849.04 |
$-229.07 |
-0.2% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
105,891 |
0.790 |
$83,706.54 |
$30,761.23 |
+58.1% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
57,108 |
0.987 |
$56,336.74 |
$4,076.75 |
+7.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
55,690 |
0.835 |
$46,501.33 |
$3,494.45 |
+8.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
47,703 |
0.835 |
$39,832.14 |
$-2,196.16 |
-5.2% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
41,148 |
0.675 |
$27,774.81 |
$1,360.88 |
+5.2% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
105,891 |
0.209 |
$22,184.09 |
$-30,761.23 |
-58.1% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
20,683 |
0.967 |
$19,989.77 |
$1,995.87 |
+11.1% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
20,000 |
0.997 |
$19,939.99 |
$20.00 |
+0.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
30,000 |
0.625 |
$18,750.00 |
$-4,983.30 |
-21.0% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
17,666 |
0.996 |
$17,595.54 |
$543.16 |
+3.2% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
16,532 |
0.987 |
$16,308.83 |
$902.90 |
+5.9% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
13,840 |
0.935 |
$12,940.09 |
$484.39 |
+3.9% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
8,486 |
0.920 |
$7,807.49 |
$848.67 |
+12.2% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
6,203 |
0.981 |
$6,082.42 |
$458.38 |
+8.2% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
4,556 |
0.875 |
$3,986.82 |
$22.78 |
+0.6% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
2,705 |
0.948 |
$2,563.29 |
$209.66 |
+8.9% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
387 |
0.625 |
$241.85 |
$-94.81 |
-28.2% |
| Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
Yes |
422 |
0.362 |
$153.08 |
$-242.66 |
-61.3% |